TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
Aired 26 May 2026 · written 26 May, when Donald Trump was 24%
The market we based this episode on
The board on 26 May 2026, the day the script was written. A price is the market’s odds of that outcome.
| Donald Trump | 24% | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 18% | |
| Pope Leo XIV | 16% | |
| AI | 10% | |
| Dario Amodei | 8% | |
| Elon Musk | 8% | |
| Sam Altman | 8% | |
| Bad Bunny | 8% |
Platform
Kalshi · real money
Resolves
1 January 2027
Volume traded
$1,556,726
Outcomes on the board
37
Resolution criteria. If [outcome] is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
What we thought
SalThe Handicapper
EddieThe Philosopher
Eleven cents on AI has pulled ninety grand — more volume than Trump or the Pope. Somebody thinks TIME pulls the 1982 stunt again.
Christ's representative on Earth versus Sam Altman's avatar. Sal, that's not a magazine cover — that's the plot of one of the Omen movies.
How it’s moved since
Daily price. The dotted line is the day the episode was written — the odds Sal and Eddie were looking at. The solid line is the day it aired.
Written 26 May
Aired 26 May
Source: KALSHI
Biggest move since: Donald Trump, down from 24% on the day the episode was written to 10% today.