Who will perform the next James Bond theme?
Aired 28 July 2026 · written 12 June, when Olivia Dean was 44%
The market we based this episode on
The board on 12 June 2026, the day the script was written. A price is the market’s odds of that outcome.
| Olivia Dean | 44% | |
| Raye | 22% | |
| Dua Lipa | 18% | |
| Lana Del Rey | 16% | |
| Oasis | 14% | |
| Lady Gaga | 10% | |
| Miley Cyrus | 6% | |
| Harry Styles | 6% |
Platform
Kalshi · real money
Resolves
1 January 2035
Volume traded
$38,696
Outcomes on the board
22
Lifetime volume on this market is $38,696 — enough to read a trend, but thin enough that a single motivated trader can move the price.
Resolution criteria. If [outcome] performs the James Bond film theme, then the market resolves to Yes.
What we thought
SalThe Handicapper
EddieThe Philosopher
Olivia Dean at forty-eight is chalk because she's hot right now. By the time this rolls around she could be a memory. Shaken, but not yet stirred.
Barbara Broccoli just handed the keys to Jeff Bezos, so a real-life Bond villain now owns Bond, and the only fixed point in this universe is who hums over the gun barrel.
How it’s moved since
Daily price. The dotted line is the day the episode was written — the odds Sal and Eddie were looking at. The solid line is the day it aired.
Written 12 Jun
Aired 28 Jul
Source: KALSHI
Biggest move since: Lorde, up from 5% on the day the episode was written to 83% today.