Will Elon Musk be cast in the next Superman?
Aired 11 June 2026 · written 26 May, when Yes was 0%
The market we based this episode on
The board on 26 May 2026, the day the script was written. A price is the market’s odds of that outcome.
0% Yes
No 100%
Platform
Kalshi · real money
Resolves
31 December 2026
Volume traded
$25,776
Lifetime volume on this market is $25,776 — enough to read a trend, but thin enough that a single motivated trader can move the price.
Resolution criteria. If Elon Musk is cast in Superman before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
What we thought
SalThe Handicapper
EddieThe Philosopher
Five cents on a one-percent shot. That's a guy picking up nickels off the counter of a comic shop hoping for a tweet. That's a Batman slap.
Sal, forget Superman. Musk as Brainiac, or Lex, or Zod — no acting required. But you really think the world's richest man sits still for fifty takes?
How it’s moved since
Daily price. The dotted line is the day the episode was written — the odds Sal and Eddie were looking at. The solid line is the day it aired.
Written 26 May
Aired 11 Jun
Source: KALSHI
The market has barely moved since.