Who will headline Coachella 2027?
Aired 16 June 2026 · written 23 May, when Dua Lipa was 58%
The market we based this episode on
The board on 23 May 2026, the day the script was written. A price is the market’s odds of that outcome.
| Dua Lipa | 58% | |
| Fred again.. | 40% | |
| Radiohead | 40% | |
| BTS | 28% | |
| Billie Eilish | 28% | |
| Olivia Dean | 20% | |
| Daft Punk | 18% | |
| Bruno Mars | 15% |
Why we chose it
A hundred and thirteen names on the board, roughly a hundred grand traded, and the festival hasn't announced a thing — the lineup this market is pricing does not exist yet. Dua Lipa is the chalk at 63 cents and carries the most volume: fresh album cycle, stadium draw, the safest booking Goldenvoice could make. Radiohead sit second at 44 — the band has been circling live work again, and a festival exclusive is exactly how they'd do it — with Fred again just behind at 41.
The prices sum far past 100 on purpose: Coachella runs multiple headliners, so this is really several markets wearing one name, and you can cash more than one ticket. Daft Punk at 21 is the romantic's line — 2027 is twenty years since the pyramid show that invented the modern festival headliner. The punchline of the whole board: a six-figure market that resolves inside the head of one booker in Indio, California.
What we thought
How it’s moved since
Daily price. The dotted line is the day the episode was written — the odds Sal and Eddie were looking at. The solid line is the day it aired.
Biggest move since: BTS, up from 28% on the day the episode was written to 74% today.