← The Inside Track Kalshi Real money

Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year?

Aired 3 June 2026

Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year? — episode poster
◆Watch this episode◆

The market we based this episode on

The board on 20 May 2026, the day the script was written. A price is the market’s odds of that outcome.

16% Yes No 84%
Platform
Kalshi · real money
Resolves
1 January 2027
Volume traded
$95
This market has traded $95 in total. On a book this thin the price moves on single small orders, so read it as a curiosity rather than a forecast.
Resolution criteria. If Daft Punk (Thomas Bangalter and Guy-Manuel de Homem-Christo) has a reunion before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Why we chose it

One dollar. The total volume on this market is a single dollar — the loneliest market on the board, on a question millions of people would genuinely like answered. The line says 22 cents, which is rich for a band that broke up on purpose: Daft Punk didn't fade out, they filmed an epilogue — walked into the desert and exploded, helmets and all. That's not a hiatus, that's a thesis statement.

The reason nobody will fund "this year" is sitting one market over: the crowd has decided that if the robots return it happens at Coachella 2027, twenty years after the pyramid show that made them, and every real signal — Bangalter easing back onto stages since his hearing improved, the catalogue charting with a new generation — points past 31 December. So 22 cents on a buck of volume isn't the public talking. It's one person with a hunch, priced against a band that made ending it into art.

The show’s read Before making an episode we research the market to judge whether it is worth one. This is what that research said about this bet — our reasoning, not reporting.

What we thought

SalThe Handicapper
EddieThe Philosopher
Sal
Twenty-two cents is rich for a band that broke up on purpose. They walked into the desert and exploded. That's not a hiatus, that's a thesis statement.
Eddie
Sal, one dollar of volume on a question millions would want answered. They turned breaking up into art, and one guy still can't let it stay finished.

How it’s moved since

Daily price. The dotted line is the day the episode was written — the odds Sal and Eddie were looking at. The solid line is the day it aired.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% aired 3 Jun 21 May 9 Aug 27 Sep Before 2027 16%
Written 20 May Aired 3 Jun Source: KALSHI